Temporary overshoot of global temperature targets—particularly the 1.5°C goal of the Paris Agreement—is no longer just a ...

Changes in rainfall within global monsoon regions affect the livelihoods of billions. For years, climate models have ...

Northern wildfires may be more dangerous for the climate than they appear. Researchers found that fires in boreal forests can burn deep into peat soils, releasing ancient carbon stored for hundreds or ...

Have you ever stopped to wonder how forecasters can predict the weather days in advance, or how scientists figure out how the climate might evolve under different policies? The Earth system is a vast ...

Global temperatures are now widely expected to temporarily exceed the Paris Agreement’s 1.5 °C warming limit, even under the most aggressive emissions-reduction scenarios. That prospect, known as ...

Climate models have been the basis for concern about climate change for more than 35 years. The US government, the United Nations, and organizations across the world have used model projections to ...

This session aimed to gain insight into the macroeconomic models and inputs used at the decision-making level. In his talk, Robert Arnold, Congressional Budget Office (CBO), echoed Stock by stressing ...

A new study says a federal climate report wrongly downplayed clear evidence of the human “fingerprint” on atmospheric warming.

The accelerating impacts of climate change present a stark paradox. While the crisis is undeniably global, its burdens are borne with acute and ...